Mexico arrive at the Estadio Azteca with nothing left to chase. Six points, two clean sheets and top spot in Group A are already banked, so Aguirre is widely expected to rest first-choice players and manage minutes ahead of the knockouts. That removes the very desperation that usually fuels Mexico's best fortress performances at altitude.

Czechia walk in from the opposite extreme. Winless with a single point, they must win to keep any hope alive, and a must-win side built around Patrik Schick's finishing is exactly the profile to test a patched-up, unfamiliar Mexican back line. Their high press and willingness to take risks would be punished by a full-strength Mexico, but a rotated one may not have the cohesion to do so.

The result is a genuine coin-flip the names disguise. A rotated home favorite against a desperate opponent, in a tournament where group games keep ending level, tilts the matrix toward a draw. Expect Schick to threaten the clean-sheet run while Mexico's fringe quality is still enough to nick a goal and hold — 1-1 the calibrated call, with a Czech win very live.