This is the genuine mismatch of Matchday 3 in Group C. Morocco arrive on 4 points, level with Brazil, unbeaten through a 1-1 with the Selecao and a 1-0 over Scotland, and have conceded just once in five games. Haiti, by contrast, are already eliminated, pointless and yet to score in two matches, chasing only a historic first World Cup goal in their first finals since 1974.

The math frees Morocco to attack: a point guarantees progression, but a win likely secures second and could even claim top spot on goal difference, giving Regragui's side every reason to press early. Against Haiti's porous backline, the Moroccan front line should convert at a far higher rate than against elite opponents, and the defensive structure that stifled Brazil and Scotland is unlikely to be troubled by an attack that hasn't tested a keeper all tournament.

The only restraint on the scoreline is game management. Once qualification is mathematically locked, Morocco may rotate and drop the tempo, capping the margin. That keeps this a comfortable controlled win rather than a rout, landing on a 2-0 Morocco victory with the floor for the favourite remaining high.