Norway arrive top of Group I and full of confidence after a commanding 4-1 dismantling of Iraq, with Erling Haaland in arguably the best form of his international career: two goals in the opener, 18 in his last nine for Norway, and a goal in 11 straight competitive appearances. A second win books their passage to the knockouts, and they have every incentive to press an opponent who must chase the game.

Senegal, beaten 3-1 by France, face early elimination and arrive in genuine must-win mode. They carry real quality and pace through Sadio Mane and Nicolas Jackson, an athletic, physical profile capable of punishing Norway's high defensive line on the counter. Desperation historically lifts African sides, and the individual gap here is narrower than Norway's opener scoreline suggests.

This shapes as the most balanced match on the card. Both teams want to attack, pointing to an open, high-scoring affair where Over 2.5 and BTTS look likely. Norway edge it on Haaland's relentless finishing, but with this tournament's competitive games drawing near half the time, a Senegal equalizer or smash-and-grab remains very much in play.