At Arrowhead in Kansas City, the Netherlands arrive flying under Ronald Koeman, having drawn Japan 2-2 before thrashing Sweden 5-1, with Opta giving them an 83% chance of back-to-back wins. A point likely secures top spot, so there may be light rotation, but the talent gap is vast. Tunisia, already eliminated and playing only for pride, have conceded nine goals across their two defeats and managed just a single goal in reply.

This has one-sided written all over it. Tunisia's porous defence has been overrun by every opponent, and the Dutch attack is in ruthless form. The only real questions are the margin and whether Tunisia grab a consolation — the BTTS angle has appeal given how open Tunisia have played. We expect a comfortable Dutch win, with a Tunisian goal a plausible footnote rather than a turning point.